Pacific Division Preview

2015-09-14 Off By EvilGenius

[Editor’s Note: This is the first in our annual six part series of division previews, here at C:tB. EvilGenius tips it off with a Pacific Division preview. Key to every team in this series will be the teams’ additions, subtractions, storylines, a prediction of how far they’ll go this season, and a new wrinkle for this year…  a spotlight on a player we’d love to have and a player we love to hate from each team.]

Even though football season has just kicked off in earnest, we here at C:tB believe it’s never too early for hoop dreams and roundball ruminations. Okay, we’re actually still about two weeks out from the official start of training camp, but hey, if LeBron can assemble all the King’s men (minus TT, Moz and Delly) to Miami to get to work a little early, then we can absolutely dive into some previews for the coming season.

While the NBA voted to make the divisions in each conference even less relevant than they’ve been in the past, we’ll still group them accordingly (since it’s just easier to compile them geographically anyway). We hit the ground running with the Pacific Division, that includes: the defending NBA Champions; the hijack of the summer; the Mamba’s Last Ride?; the fiery wrath of a separated twin; and the nuttiest looney bin this side of Salem, Oregon.

Saddle up with us, and let’s take a trip out west…

Golden State Warriors

I’m not sure there’s a more annoying reigning NBA champion I can remember having to be subjected to during the course of one summer than the Warriors (and I lived through all five Kobe Laker championships here in LA!). Granted, I am undoubtedly biased as a Cavs fan, but there’s just something about these Warriors and their fanbase that irritates the senses. Be it Draymond Green’s victory parade antics, having Klay’s dad and all of the adoptive Warrior fans in Los Angeles fawn over the Splash Brothers, watching Riley Curry whip and then nae nae, or having to listen to countless local and national media honks predicting a Golden State dynasty. Heck, even Sir Charles is fed up with fans of the jump-shooting team. And if that wasn’t bad enough, they also seem to have no issues re-signing their stars to contracts (even for less than the max!), or be subjected to wild speculation about them possibly leaving in free agency down the road.

As they say, “when it ain’t broke, don’t fix it,” so, it comes as little surprise that Golden State did only very minor tinkering with their roster from their championship season, returning nearly all of their rotation players (minus David Lee) while adding Jason Thompson, returning Brandon Rush, and drafting a versatile future piece in Kevon Looney.

Additions: Draymond Green (re-signed), Leandro Barbosa (re-signed), Kevon Looney (draft), Jason Thompson (Sacramento), Chris Babb (Boston)

Subtractions: David Lee (Boston), Justin Holiday (Atlanta), Ognjen Kuzmić (Greece)

Storylines:

1. The biggest question facing the Warriors isn’t whether or not they can defend their title against a fully-loaded, fully-healthy (and augmented) Cavs squad, but if they can even make a return trip to the Finals in what should prove to be a much tougher Western Conference to navigate. The Clippers, Spurs, Rockets and Grizzlies all got better, and the Thunder look to be healthy again and a force with which to be reckoned. Golden State’s versatility and torrential outside shooting should still keep them near the top of the conference, but their path is much more treacherous, particularly once they get to the playoffs. It’s unlikely they’ll encounter the same level of injured opposing PGs.

2. And speaking of injuries, the Warriors had few (if any) befall them last year (although rookie Looney will miss 4-6 months with hip surgery this season). Like the Cavs, they have a young core, but they do have several aging complementary players (Iggy, Livingston, Speights, Bogut, Barbosa) who may be more susceptible to the wear and tear of the regular season. Fortunately for Golden State, their system allows for the kind of plug-and-play personnel shifts that should keep them fresh. It remains to be seen if Brandon Rush will ever return to his early career form.

3. Will their three young stars continue to flourish? Steph Curry was the MVP… Green was the runner-up Defensive Player of the Year and Most Improved Player of the Year… Thompson was an All-Star and set an NBA record with 37 points in a quarter. Will these accomplishments be the ceiling for these players, or will they continue to grow together and turn this team into a dynasty?

Player I’d Love to Have: Andre Iguodala. Iggy earned every bit of his Finals MVP award. He’s a superlative defender, and has enough offensive skill left to be dangerous (just ask the Cavs). There would be arguably no better back-up for LeBron than Andre. And, he seems like a pretty nice guy to boot (maybe the only Warrior I can actually stand if I’m being honest).

Player I Love to Hate: Draymond Green. Maybe the most loathsome player in the NBA.

Prediction: 60-22 Eliminated in Western Conference Finals

With so many other teams in the WC improving (some dramatically), I have a hard time seeing the Warriors getting back to the Finals to defend their crown. It gets too easily discounted the run of good luck they had through the post-season last year, when Curry got to face the likes of Norris Cole, an injured Mike Conley, Pablo Prigioni (filling in for an injured Patrick Beverly), and Delly (filling in admirably for Kyrie after Game 1). Not to mention, the seeding quirks that forced a first round heavyweight bout between the next best teams in the conference (Spurs and Clippers), which went seven grueling games and essentially took both out of the mix of opponents for Golden State. This is not to underestimate the ability of the Warriors to shoot their way back into a Finals rematch with the Cavs, but there will be pot-holes aplenty, and even some Thunder on the horizon.

Los Angeles Clippers

As the ultimate “Hack-a-DJ” played out in Texas on July 8th, with members of the Clippers camping out barricading themselves in at DeAndre’s house (which Mark Cuban supposedly could not find — at least according to Chris Broussard’s sources), I couldn’t keep the following ditty by the Boys of Beastie from running amok through my brain…

I can’t stand it I know you planned it
I’m gonna set it straight, this watergate
I can’t stand rocking when I’m in here
Because your crystal ball ain’t so crystal clear
So while you sit back and wonder why
I got this f—-ing thorn in my side
Oh my God, it’s a mirage
I’m tellin’ y’all it’s sabotage

So listen up ’cause you can’t say nothin’
You’ll shut me down with a push of your button?
But yo I’m out and I’m gone
I’ll tell you now I keep it on and on

‘Cause what you see you might not get
And we can bet so don’t you get souped yet
You’re scheming on a thing that’s a mirage
I’m trying to tell you now it’s sabotage

Why our backs are now against the wall
Listen all of y’all it’s a sabotage
Listen all of y’all it’s a sabotage
Listen all of y’all it’s a sabotage
Listen all of y’all it’s a sabotage!

And, just like that, the Clippers went from disaster to deliverance… collapse to contender. Not only did they manage to hang onto their big man, but they also added a slew of potentially great (and potentially volatile) pieces around their big three of DJ, CP3 and Blake Griffin.

Additions: DeAndre Jordan (re-signed), Paul Pierce (Washington), Austin Rivers (re-signed), Josh Smith (Houston), Lance Stephenson (Charlotte), Chuck Hayes (Toronto), Cole Aldrich (New York), Wesley Johnson (LAL)

Subtractions: Matt Barnes (Memphis), Spencer Hawes (Charlotte)

Storylines:

1. After the best drama of the summer, have DJ and CP3 finally put their friction behind them? More than likely, things got hashed out pretty well while they were holed up together. But, who knows what will happen the first time DJ forgets how much time is on the shot clock, or refuses to practice his free throw shooting. Paul is still the alpha of this team, and likely won’t be shy about getting on DJ’s case, especially now that he’s locked up to a long-term deal.

2. Will the complementary players the Clips brought in be the missing veteran pieces that help finally push LA over the top and into the Finals? Or will they prove to be too old (Pierce), unpredictable (Stephenson) or boneheaded (Smith) to make a positive impact. Only time, and Doc’s patience, will tell…

3. Since the DJ catastrophe was averted, which will be the biggest disaster of the season for the Clips… their awful new logo, or Doc’s continued steadfast commitment to nepotism?

Player I’d Love to Have: Paul Pierce. Veteran leadership, clutch shooting, solid defense and heady play all rolled up into one cocky, chip-on-his-shoulder package. Plus, having him on the Cavs would mean that he wouldn’t be able to hit miracle shots for the opposing team.

Player I Love to Hate: (tie) Paul Pierce, Lance Stephenson, Josh Smith (two or three of the top LeBron rivals all reside in one place now).

Prediction: 57-25 Eliminated in Finals

This is the Clippers’ year. Doc has all of the tools he needs now to finally get LA to the promised land. He doesn’t, however, have enough to derail the freight train that is the Cavaliers. I debated with myself for a while on this, and as much as I’d love for the Cavs to finally win their title by getting revenge on the team that ousted them last year, it would actually be sweeter to get it against old foes Doc and Pierce. I, for one, hope it happens…

Phoenix Suns

The Suns lived up to their name for much of last season, rising and sinking several times during the year. Their initial prospects looked promising, and they were nearly ten games over .500 at the end of January, before the bottom fell out. A 3-10 run knocked them back down to just above even in February, and they shipped out Goran Dragic and Isaiah Thomas before the trade deadline, bringing back Brandon Knight. It took a little while, but they eventually looked like they might make a run at the 8th playoff seed in the West, as they won seven of ten at the beginning of March. They were even slightly ahead of the Thunder and Pelicans for the final spot, until they finished the season on a brutal 1-10 streak, fading past the horizon.

Despite the rough finish, the Suns had positioned themselves well with their mid-season trades and young assets to be a big time player in free agency, and even a dark horse contender for LaMarcus Aldridge. To further entice LMA, they manage to quickly lock down big man Tyson Chandler for $52 million over four years. Chandler’s presence wasn’t enough to lure Aldridge, and the Suns might not have traded Marcus Morris away if they knew LaMarcus would go elsewhere. And if they hadn’t traded Morris, they might not have incurred the wrath of his twin brother Markieff… but that’s life.

Additions: Devin Booker (draft), Tyson Chandler (Dallas), Brandon Knight (re-signed), Jon Leuer (Memphis), Ronnie Price (Indiana), Mirza Teletovic (Brooklyn), Sonny Weems (CSKA Moscow)

Subtractions: Gerald Green (Heat), Marcus Morris (Detroit), Brandan Wright (Grizzlies)

Storylines:

1. The contract the Suns gave Chandler is at least a decent sized risk, especially given Chandler’s age and up-and-down career. But he’ll be a major upgrade defensively, and if anyone can keep him on the court into his mid-30s, it’s Phoenix’s legendary training and medical staff.

2. The Suns were able to use Marcus Morris’ salary slot to sign Mirza Teletovic as a replacement and keep their cap clear for a potential run at Kevin Durant in 2016. However, the cost of doing so is the happiness of the other Morris twin, Markieff, who has publicly campaigned to be traded (and been fined $10K by the NBA for doing so). The question will be whether or not the Suns can hang onto their talented forward, or if they are forced to part ways with him.

3. Do the Suns have enough parts to get a grip on that final playoff spot this year? And, more importantly, if they do, would they even want it?

Player I’d Love to Have: Markieff Morris. In the wake of the TT/Rich Paul standoff with the Cavs, Morris would be an ideal replacement for Tristan, if it could somehow be figured out. He’s got the tools to be a double-double machine, and has quite a bit more upside offensively.

Player I Love to Hate: Markieff Morris. It bothers me when young forwards try and get up or over on LeBron in meaningless regular season games (which happened in LBJ’s first game back after his two week sabbatical last year). Check yourself before you wreck yourself, Kieff…

Prediction: 42-40 Eliminated in first round

If the Suns can hang onto Morris, or trade him for another valuable piece, it seems like they’ll have just enough to reach the post-season… and get the snot beat out of them in round one. With both Portland and Dallas likely regressing substantially this year, there should be room for two others. OKC will take one of those spots, and the Suns are my pick for the other.

Los Angeles Lakers

Another year… another lost season for the Lakers. Well, at least they won’t have Kobe Bean Bryant to kick around for much longer… right? Right?!

Poor Mamba. It’s easy to forget that he’s actually still in the league after his rash of season-ending injuries over the last few years. Still, all that time off has probably done wonders for his mood (I mean, he even buried the hatchet with Shaq… so, progress?). In any event, much of the spotlight will be on Kobe as the season unfolds, with many asking whether or not it will be his last (Jim Buss isn’t going to say so).

Meanwhile, after striking out once again with the top free agents on the market (despite their terrific audio-visual presentations — just ask LMA or Melo), the Lakers regrouped by preserving their flexibility at another run at free agency next summer. They did sign Brandon Bass and Lou Williams to modest deals, but most of the Lakers’ cap space went to acquiring Roy Hibbert’s expiring contract from the Pacers. Adding Hibbert means the Lakers have at least a marginal shot at being more competitive this season, especially with the additions of D’Angelo Russell and Julius Randle (and minus all the Lin-sanity!).

Additions: Brandon Bass (Washington), Anthony Brown (draft), Roy Hibbert (Indiana), Larry Nance Jr. (draft), D’Angelo Russell (draft), Lou Williams (Toronto)

Subtractions: Ed Davis (Portland), Wayne Ellington (Brooklyn), Jordan Hill (Indiana), Wesley Johnson (LAC), Jeremy Lin (Charlotte)

Storylines:

1. Kobe. Will this be his last year? Will he pass the torch to the young guys like Russell and Randle? Is he capable of riding off into the sunset gracefully? Or will he try to gun and pistolwhip this rag-tag bunch into a marginal playoff spot?

2. Does Roy Hibbert have anything left, and will a change of scenery be good for the big man? Or will he get exposed in the fast-paced, small-ball West?

3. How long until the Lakers recover from the Kobe contract and get good again? It’s painfully obvious that no established stars are going to get all that excited about LA until the Mamba has slithered off into retirement. Are Russell and Randle the stars of the future, or just place-holders for the next imports?

Player I’d Love to Have: Jordan Clarkson. A PG with great size, good floor vision and a decent shot. Would be the perfect young backup to Kyrie.

Player I Love to Hate: Kobe Bryant. Hate’s probably too strong a word anymore. It’s decayed into a lazy dislike and a hope that the end is finally in sight. Although, I’ll probably miss the Mamba when he’s gone… (but not really).

Prediction: 40-42 Miss the playoffs

Despite a surprisingly healthy Kobe’s best efforts, the Lakers fall just short of the playoffs. However, they’re good enough to keep the Lakers mired in mid-first-round mediocrity. Kobe finally announces his retirement at the end of the season. Kevin Durant schedules a visit to LA as his first stop. In the meeting, Jim and Jeannie Buss tell KD they have a surprise for him. In walks the Mamba, and he informs a dumbfounded Durant that the retirement was just a smokescreen, and that they’re going to win one last ring for Kobe together. KD smiles awkwardly, pretends he’s getting a call and excuses himself. A half hour later, KD is on a plane to Washington. At their wits end, the Buss family agrees to sell the team to Kobe. Checkmate.

Sacramento Kings

Rather than rehash the insanity that is the Sacramento Kings, I think I summed it up pretty well earlier this summer…

It makes you wonder what George Karl must have done in a past life to karmically deserve the hellish sentence of coaching both Boogie Cousins AND Rajon Rondo… TOGETHER. Though he may not make it to opening day, it could just be that Vivek Ranadive just wants to see if he can push GK far enough so that he’ll quit and forfeit his salary. The Rondo signing (even though it’s just for one year at $9.5M) is probably neither a good fit, nor a sound business decision. The Kings did try to throw money at several other Free Agents (like Wes Matthews), and at potential Karl replacements (like John Calipari), but they were roundly snubbed by most. Aside from Rondo, they did somehow con Marco Belinelli into signing up (three years, $19M), but the real focus seems to be finding a way to Apocalypse Now their way out by jamming their powder keg and rigging it to blow.

Additions: Rajon Rondo (Dallas), Caron Butler (Detroit), Quincy Acy (New York), James Anderson (Philadelphia), Marco Belinelli (Spurs), Omri Casspi (re-signed), Willie Cauley-Stein (draft), Kosta Koufos (Memphis), Seth Curry (Phoenix)

Subtractions: Carl Landry (Philadelphia), Ray McCallum (Spurs), Nik Stauskas (Philadelphia), Jason Thompson (Golden State), Derrick Williams (New York)

Storylines:

1. If I lived in Sacramento, I might buy season tickets to this Sleep-Train wreck, if only to catch the potential fireworks in person (sometimes SportsCenter just doesn’t convey the sheer moments of rage and frustration a coach experiences when being asked to run this kind of asylum). Actually, even though I don’t live there, I’ve talked myself into making my way to at least a couple of games in Sacto.

2. Stranger things have happened, but I could be completely wrong, and maybe somehow Rondo and Boogie will be dynamite together (I just re-read this line and giggled uncontrollably to myself… maybe the crazy is rubbing off on me). But still, they do have a lot of defensive big men to play next to the Boogie man now, like Koufos and Cauley-Stein.

3. Will George Karl end up a) In the playoffs; b) In the unemployment line; or c) In-stitutionalized?

Player I’d Love to Have: Boogie Cousins. With the right coach, DeMarcus has the potential to be a transcendent talent. With him and LBJ on the court together, they’d be juggernauts.

Player I Love to Hate: Rajon Rondo. Some people speculated that LeBron quit on the Cavs in Game 5 against Rondo and the Celtics in 2010. There is no need for speculation on whether or not Rondo quit on the Mavs last year. Rondo is the poster child for quitters.

Prediction: 30-52 Lottery bound

Sacto… the new Cuckoo’s Nest…

 

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