Links to the Present: Lottery Edition II: Electric Boogaloo
2012-05-30
This isn’t breaking (breakin’? I’ll see myself out) news, but the Cavs are sending Nick Gilbert to the Draft Lottery tonight. Is it weird that I’m reassured by this? With the Gilbert kid there (hopefully) in a bowtie and his big glasses, I’ll feel 3% better about the Cavs’ chances at landing Anthony Davis.
I know the writers don’t often choose their headlines, and so I don’t blame Jason Lloyd for his brief breakdown of how many times a team in a certain slot in the Lottery has won it being “Cavs in Prime Spot to Win,” but I don’t want to hear anything about the history of the Lottery. I’m not as stats-oriented as a lot of other NBA writers, but I learned how probability works in first grade: regardless of past outcomes, having a 25% chance to win the Lottery is better than having a 13.8% chance. Shammgod willing, the Cavs can defeat probability.
If you’re confused about how the Lottery process works, this breakdown from Conrad Kaczmarek over at FTS is incredibly useful. The long and the short of it, though: the Cavs have a 13.8% chance at Davis and cannot fall lower than sixth. I also echo Conrad’s advice: positive vibes, everybody! Throw on your favorite record, wear your hat inside out and backwards, whatever you need to do.
We sat through that season for Drummond
Your poor parents. They send you to a magnet school that teaches probability in the first grade and you are writing for a blot. Ha ha keep up the great work!
I think it would be more appropriate, given the geographical scope of the Cavs’ fan base, to crown Nick the Executive of Cuyahoga County; or, perhaps, more realistically, director of NOACA, the seven-county planning agency.
I second Jeff’s Notion. Mayor Nick! Also he should be the new Cavs mascot at all the games, and be the first to pick up the championship trophy in 2 years (I know, I know, two years is a long time to wait, but Davis and Kyrie will need *some* time to mature and get used to each other)
If Nick Gilbert lands us another first pick we are fucking crowning him mayor.
Time to get out the horseshoe, and a few four leaf clovers (even if they are lucky charms marshmallows).
The Basketball Jones have undertaken a scientific experiment to prove that the Cavs will win tonight (just like they said last year): http://blogs.thescore.com/tbj/2012/05/30/tbj-video-cavs-win-no-1-pick-predicts-donut/
It’s on!