Archive for the ‘2013 – 2014’ Category

Glass Half Full View of the Season (or, how consistently wrong can I be about this team?)

Tuesday, March 18th, 2014

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I have a vague theory.  Every time I write pessimistically about the Cavs, they immediately embark on a hot streak.  If I take an optimistic tone, an ensuing 30-point loss becomes inevitable.  Seriously, look it up (Edited Note:  I began writing this on Sunday evening.  Within an hour, Kyrie had injured his biceps).  Sum up the team’s record in the two games after each negative article I write.  It is the equivalent of the 1996 Bulls.  Combining every set of two games following a positive article, they resemble the current 76ers.  Most recently, after offering a thumbs down, the team won twice on the road against Western Conference playoff contenders.

So far, this season has not gone as planned.  The Cavs made three big free agent acquisitions this past summer and selected two first-round draft picks, including #1.  This season’s salary commitments for those five players approached $23 million, and due to Bynum’s odd deal, counted nearly $30 million towards the 2013 – 2014 salary cap.  At gotbuckets.com, we recently created a RAPM-based wins equivalent, SWAgR.  Through March 10th, Andrew Bynum, Jarrett Jack, Earl Clark, Anthony Bennett and Sergey Karasev combined for negative 1.5 SWAgR.  Based on that stat, replacing their minutes with available, reference level players like Alonzo Gee, Nazr Mohammed and Darius Morris wins the Cavs 1.5 more games.  And that is not meant as a complement to the latter three guys.

That is a rotten summer and a wasted season.  But this is not a negative article.  Balancing last week’s piece, here are silver linings from the 2013 – 2014 season.  But don’t worry, I have taken special considerations to ensure I don’t jinx the Wine & Gold!

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10:30 Remaining in the 4th Quarter

Tuesday, March 11th, 2014

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Remember early in the season, when I started writing a series comparing the 2013 – 2014 season to one game?  No?  Fair enough, seeing as I skipped the 2nd and 3rd quarters.  Well with the Cavs entering the final frame, things look bleak.  They are down by twenty, and the other team’s starters are checking back in.  Every brief bright spot is quickly followed by harrowing darkness.

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Thirty Seconds Remaining in the First Quarter

Sunday, December 8th, 2013

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When the first half ends against New York on Tuesday, the initial quarter of the 2013 – 2014 season will have transpired.  It wasn’t frequently pretty, featuring plenty of blown leads, runaway defeats, and miserable individual performances.  But as this period of the season draws to the close, the Cavs ride a three wins in four games streak, against opponents with a combined 43 – 38 record — with two of those wins on the second night of a back-to-back.  Recently, at least, individual performances reach or exceed the thresholds expected for the season.  A sampling…

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